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When to Intervene: Learning Optimal Intervention Policies for Critical Events

Neural Information Processing Systems

Providing a timely intervention before the onset of a critical event, such as a system failure, is of importance in many industrial settings. Before the onset of the critical event, systems typically exhibit behavioral changes which often manifest as stochastic co-variate observations which may be leveraged to trigger intervention. In this paper, for the first time, we formulate the problem of finding an optimally timed intervention (OTI) policy as minimizing the expected residual time to event, subject to a constraint on the probability of missing the event. Existing machine learning approaches to intervention on critical events focus on predicting event occurrence within a pre-defined window (a classification problem) or predicting time-to-event (a regression problem). Interventions are then triggered by setting model thresholds.



Quantum Machine Learning for Secure Cooperative Multi-Layer Edge AI with Proportional Fairness

Vu, Thai T., Le, John

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Abstract--This paper proposes a communication-efficient, event-tri ggered inference framework for cooperative edge AI systems comprising multiple user devices and edge servers. Buildin g upon dual-threshold early-exit strategies for rare-even t detection, the proposed approach extends classical single-device infere nce to a distributed, multi-device setting while incorpora ting proportional fairness constraints across users. A joint optimization fr amework is formulated to maximize classification utility un der communication, energy, and fairness constraints. T o solve the resulting pr oblem efficiently, we exploit the monotonicity of the utilit y function with respect to the confidence thresholds and apply alternating optimiza tion with Benders decomposition. Experimental results sho w that the proposed framework significantly enhances system-wide per formance and fairness in resource allocation compared to si ngle-device baselines.


Identifying and Investigating Global News Coverage of Critical Events Such as Disasters and Terrorist Attacks

Cai, Erica, Chen, Xi, Keeney, Reagan Grey, Zuckerman, Ethan, O'Connor, Brendan, Grabowicz, Przemyslaw A.

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Comparative studies of news coverage are challenging to conduct because methods to identify news articles about the same event in different languages require expertise that is difficult to scale. We introduce an AI-powered method for identifying news articles based on an event FINGERPRINT, which is a minimal set of metadata required to identify critical events. Our event coverage identification method, FINGERPRINT TO ARTICLE MATCHING FOR EVENTS (FAME), efficiently identifies news articles about critical world events, specifically terrorist attacks and several types of natural disasters. FAME does not require training data and is able to automatically and efficiently identify news articles that discuss an event given its fingerprint: time, location, and class (such as storm or flood). The method achieves state-of-the-art performance and scales to massive databases of tens of millions of news articles and hundreds of events happening globally. We use FAME to identify 27,441 articles that cover 470 natural disaster and terrorist attack events that happened in 2020. To this end, we use a massive database of news articles in three languages from MediaCloud, and three widely used, expert-curated databases of critical events: EM-DAT, USGS, and GTD. Our case study reveals patterns consistent with prior literature: coverage of disasters and terrorist attacks correlates to death counts, to the GDP of a country where the event occurs, and to trade volume between the reporting country and the country where the event occurred. We share our NLP annotations and cross-country media attention data to support the efforts of researchers and media monitoring organizations.


Behavioral Safety Assessment towards Large-scale Deployment of Autonomous Vehicles

Liu, Henry X., Yan, Xintao, Sun, Haowei, Wang, Tinghan, Qiao, Zhijie, Zhu, Haojie, Shen, Shengyin, Feng, Shuo, Stevens, Greg, McGuire, Greg

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Autonomous vehicles (AVs) have significantly advanced in real-world deployment in recent years, yet safety continues to be a critical barrier to widespread adoption. Traditional functional safety approaches, which primarily verify the reliability, robustness, and adequacy of AV hardware and software systems from a vehicle-centric perspective, do not sufficiently address the AV's broader interactions and behavioral impact on the surrounding traffic environment. To overcome this limitation, we propose a paradigm shift toward behavioral safety, a comprehensive approach focused on evaluating AV responses and interactions within traffic environment. To systematically assess behavioral safety, we introduce a third-party AV safety assessment framework comprising two complementary evaluation components: Driver Licensing Test and Driving Intelligence Test. The Driver Licensing Test evaluates AV's reactive behaviors under controlled scenarios, ensuring basic behavioral competency. In contrast, the Driving Intelligence Test assesses AV's interactive behaviors within naturalistic traffic conditions, quantifying the frequency of safety-critical events to deliver statistically meaningful safety metrics before large-scale deployment. We validated our proposed framework using \texttt{Autoware.Universe}, an open-source Level 4 AV, tested both in simulated environments and on the physical test track at the University of Michigan's Mcity Testing Facility. The results indicate that \texttt{Autoware.Universe} passed 6 out of 14 scenarios and exhibited a crash rate of 3.01e-3 crashes per mile, approximately 1,000 times higher than average human driver crash rate. During the tests, we also uncovered several unknown unsafe scenarios for \texttt{Autoware.Universe}. These findings underscore the necessity of behavioral safety evaluations for improving AV safety performance prior to widespread public deployment.


Temporal-contextual Event Learning for Pedestrian Crossing Intent Prediction

Liang, Hongbin, Qiao, Hezhe, Huang, Wei, Wang, Qizhou, Shang, Mingsheng, Chen, Lin

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Ensuring the safety of vulnerable road users through accurate prediction of pedestrian crossing intention (PCI) plays a crucial role in the context of autonomous and assisted driving. Analyzing the set of observation video frames in ego-view has been widely used in most PCI prediction methods to forecast the cross intent. However, they struggle to capture the critical events related to pedestrian behaviour along the temporal dimension due to the high redundancy of the video frames, which results in the sub-optimal performance of PCI prediction. Our research addresses the challenge by introducing a novel approach called \underline{T}emporal-\underline{c}ontextual Event \underline{L}earning (TCL). The TCL is composed of the Temporal Merging Module (TMM), which aims to manage the redundancy by clustering the observed video frames into multiple key temporal events. Then, the Contextual Attention Block (CAB) is employed to adaptively aggregate multiple event features along with visual and non-visual data. By synthesizing the temporal feature extraction and contextual attention on the key information across the critical events, TCL can learn expressive representation for the PCI prediction. Extensive experiments are carried out on three widely adopted datasets, including PIE, JAAD-beh, and JAAD-all. The results show that TCL substantially surpasses the state-of-the-art methods. Our code can be accessed at https://github.com/dadaguailhb/TCL.


When to Intervene: Learning Optimal Intervention Policies for Critical Events

Neural Information Processing Systems

Providing a timely intervention before the onset of a critical event, such as a system failure, is of importance in many industrial settings. Before the onset of the critical event, systems typically exhibit behavioral changes which often manifest as stochastic co-variate observations which may be leveraged to trigger intervention. In this paper, for the first time, we formulate the problem of finding an optimally timed intervention (OTI) policy as minimizing the expected residual time to event, subject to a constraint on the probability of missing the event. Existing machine learning approaches to intervention on critical events focus on predicting event occurrence within a pre-defined window (a classification problem) or predicting time-to-event (a regression problem). Interventions are then triggered by setting model thresholds.


Automatic Extraction of Relationships among Motivations, Emotions and Actions from Natural Language Texts

Yang, Fei

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose a new graph-based framework to reveal relationships among motivations, emotions and actions explicitly given natural language texts. A directed acyclic graph is designed to describe human's nature. Nurture beliefs are incorporated to connect outside events and the human's nature graph. No annotation resources are required due to the power of large language models. Amazon Fine Foods Reviews dataset is used as corpus and food-related motivations are focused. Totally 92,990 relationship graphs are generated, of which 63% make logical sense. We make further analysis to investigate error types for optimization direction in future research.


Evaluating the reliability of automatically generated pedestrian and bicycle crash surrogates

Sengupta, Agnimitra, Guler, S. Ilgin, Gayah, Vikash V., Warchol, Shannon

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Vulnerable road users (VRUs), such as pedestrians and bicyclists, are at a higher risk of being involved in crashes with motor vehicles, and crashes involving VRUs also are more likely to result in severe injuries or fatalities. Signalized intersections are a major safety concern for VRUs due to their complex and dynamic nature, highlighting the need to understand how these road users interact with motor vehicles and deploy evidence-based countermeasures to improve safety performance. Crashes involving VRUs are relatively infrequent, making it difficult to understand the underlying contributing factors. An alternative is to identify and use conflicts between VRUs and motorized vehicles as a surrogate for safety performance. Automatically detecting these conflicts using a video-based systems is a crucial step in developing smart infrastructure to enhance VRU safety. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation conducted a study using video-based event monitoring system to assess VRU and motor vehicle interactions at fifteen signalized intersections across Pennsylvania to improve VRU safety performance. This research builds on that study to assess the reliability of automatically generated surrogates in predicting confirmed conflicts using advanced data-driven models. The surrogate data used for analysis include automatically collectable variables such as vehicular and VRU speeds, movements, post-encroachment time, in addition to manually collected variables like signal states, lighting, and weather conditions. The findings highlight the varying importance of specific surrogates in predicting true conflicts, some being more informative than others. The findings can assist transportation agencies to collect the right types of data to help prioritize infrastructure investments, such as bike lanes and crosswalks, and evaluate their effectiveness.